Stocks on Wednesday breached the psychological barrier of 87,000 points to touch a new historic high, mainly driven by optimism that Pakistan’s economy was on the right track as supported by strong data and International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections for the fiscal year 2024-25.
The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index surged to 87,128.04 points in early trading, up from the previous close of 86,466 points.
Heavy buying was witnessed in blue chips from automobile assemblers, cement, chemicals, commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, oil marketing companies (OMCs), and refineries, saw bullish trend.
Analyst Samiullah Tariq from Arif Habib Limited stated that investors took cues from decreasing yields on fixed-income government securities, indicating potential future lower interest rates.
Lately, the one-year Treasury Bill (T-Bill) and three-year Pakistan Investment Bond (PIB) rates have been trading near 13% and 12%, respectively — attributed to an increased demand for fixed-income securities, resulting in capital appreciation.
“Strong corporate results are also propelling the market,” added Tariq.
The first quarter (1QFY2024) corporate earnings season is unfolding with forecasts of strapping payouts/dividends, propelling bullish investors to enter the right sectors.
The capital market is riding a bullish wave set in motion by the passage of the 26th Amendment with index heavyweights, speculated to offer attractive payouts, remaining key drivers during the earnings season amid hopes for stability, especially after improved economic data.
The government, which remained engaged in intense lobbying to amend the constitution through the parliament for weeks, finally succeeded in clipping the powers of the superior judiciary to appoint its chief justice.
The constitutional changes were approved in an extraordinary session of parliament which was assembled on Sunday, a public holiday, and ran all night, concluding close to dawn on Monday.
With the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projecting a 3.2% GDP growth rate for the fiscal year 2025, amidst declining inflationary pressures, Pakistan’s economy is expected to experience a boost. This growth is anticipated to have a positive impact on the unemployment rate, albeit a slight one.
Analysts say the market is drawing strength from a $119 million current account surplus for September and $771 million foreign direct investment (FDI) in FY25Q1, up by 48% year-on-year.
The surplus is the largest since April 2024, compared with a surplus of $29 million in August and a deficit of $218 million in September 2023, according to data from the State Bank of Pakistan released on Monday.
