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Weighing in on Oil in 2k21

Recently spoke with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016.
I saw that you were on Bloomberg in December, and you said that you thought oil would go to the low $30s per barrel, which was a good call at the time, before OPEC would rather relent. Do you see any chance that OPEC can actually coordinate any production cuts?

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Oilprice.com recently spoke with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016.

Oilprice.com: I saw that you were on Bloomberg in December, and you said that you thought oil would go to the low $30s per barrel, which was a good call at the time, before OPEC would rather relent. Do you see any chance that OPEC can actually coordinate any production cuts?

Carl Larry: No, you know, at this point I think that there is something to consider…that OPEC up until now most people had thought that the Saudis and the rest of OPEC were really pushing hard to slowdown or altogether stop shale production in the U.S. However, what it seems now is that they are really fracturing OPEC, and in some ways almost undermining their own members.

So with oil prices down here and with production staying so high, it becomes a point where it is unsustainable for countries like a Nigeria or a Venezuela to continue. I mean, other countries within OPEC are still struggling with these oil prices, including Saudi Arabia. However, you can see that going forward that the more that the pressure stays on those countries that are outside of the Middle East, it is possible that they are the ones that are going to have to blink first. They are the ones that are going to have to cut back production.

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